2025 Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell: Davidovich Fokina [30th] vs. Rublev [8th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

In the Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell Round of 16 on Thursday, we have a matchup featuring No. 8-ranked Andrey Rublev against No. 30 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

Rublev is favored over Davidovich Fokina for this match, with -125 odds compared to the underdog’s -102 in the Round of 16.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs. Andrey Rublev matchup info

  • Tournament: Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Thursday, April 17
  • Court Surface: Clay

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Davidovich Fokina vs. Rublev Prediction

Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Davidovich Fokina has a 55.6% to win.

Davidovich Fokina vs. Rublev Betting Odds

  • Davidovich Fokina’s odds to win match: -102
  • Rublev’s odds to win match: -125
  • Davidovich Fokina’s odds to win tournament: +1400
  • Rublev’s odds to win tournament: +1200

Davidovich Fokina vs. Rublev matchup performance & stats

  • Davidovich Fokina is 7-5 on clay over the past 12 months.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages on clay over the past year, Davidovich Fokina has won 72.7% of his games on serve, and 32.6% on return.
  • Davidovich Fokina has converted 41.6% of his break-point opportunities on clay (42 of 101) over the past 12 months.
  • Davidovich Fokina was eliminated in the semifinals of his last tournament (the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters) 6-7, 4-6 by No. 3-ranked Carlos Alcaraz on April 12.
  • Rublev has put up a 13-5 record over the past 12 months, clinching one tournament win.
  • When playing on clay surfaces, Rublev has an 81.9% winning percentage in service games and a 27.5% winning percentage in return games.
  • Rublev has taken 40.4% of break points on clay (59 out of 146) which ranks 30th.
  • In the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters, Rublev’s previous tournament, he clashed with No. 15-ranked Arthur Fils in the Round of 16 on April 10 and lost 2-6, 3-6.

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