CSK vs RCB, IPL 2025; Winner Prediction for Match 8 [Source: iplt20.com]

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The IPL 2025 season moves forward as Chennai Super Kings (CSK) prepare to host Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) in what promises to be a compelling encounter at the MA Chidambaram Stadium. With both teams bringing strong squads to the competition, this match presents an intriguing battle between traditional rivals with contrasting historical records.

How Will The MA Chidambaram Stadium Pitch Behave In IPL 2025?

The MA Chidambaram Stadium has been a venue where teams batting first hold a significant advantage over the past two years. Recent statistical data from the last two IPL seasons reveals that 61.11% of matches at this venue have been won by teams setting a target. First-innings totals at Chepauk average 160 runs, while teams chasing manage approximately 144 runs.

What’s particularly significant about this venue is the gap between average first-innings totals and winning first-innings totals. Teams winning after batting first have typically posted around 178 runs, indicating a clear target threshold for batting teams. The surface traditionally offers assistance to spinners, particularly in the second innings when the wicket tends to slow down.

CSK vs RCB Toss Prediction

Despite the clear advantage for teams batting first, analytics suggest a 60% likelihood that the captain winning the toss will elect to bowl first. This seemingly contradictory approach likely stems from the general T20 preference for chasing and specific team composition factors.

Historical data shows a relatively weak correlation between winning the toss and winning the match at this venue, with only 33.33% of matches being won by the team winning the toss. Captains have chosen to bat first after winning the toss in just 22.22% of matches, highlighting the strategic preference for chasing despite the venue statistics favouring teams batting first.

CSK vs RCB Predicted Score Today

InningsSelect

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1st InningsSelect

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134-154Select

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CSK 50%, RCB 50%Select

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2nd InningsSelect

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120-140Select

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35% win probability for chasing teamSelect

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CSK vs RCB Predicted Top Performers

Chennai Super Kings

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Ruturaj GaikwadSelect

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Batter

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Ravindra JadejaSelect

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BowlerSelect

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Royal Challengers Bengaluru

PlayersSelect

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FormSelect

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Virat KohliSelect

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BatterSelect

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Phil SaltSelect

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BatterSelect

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Josh HazlewoodSelect

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CSK vs RCB Momentum Shifters

FactorSelect

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ThresholdSelect

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Statistical ImpactSelect

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Powerplay ScoreSelect

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>55 runsSelect

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+17.3% win probability boost for batting teamSelect

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Early Bowling SuccessSelect

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Taking 2+ wickets in powerplaySelect

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+21.6% win probability for bowling sideSelect

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Death Overs ExplosionSelect

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Single over yielding 18+ runsSelect

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+14.2% win probability shift toward batting teamSelect

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Optimal First InningsSelect

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Total between 180-194Select

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100% win probability for batting first based on CSK vs RCB history at ChepaukSelect

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CSK vs RCB Win Probability

CSK vs RCB, IPL 2025 Match 8: Win Prediction [Source: OneCricket]

CSK vs RCB OneCricket’s Predicted Winner

Despite CSK‘s advantage across the entire IPL history, the model prediction based on the last two years’ data indicates RCB as the likely winner. This contradiction between long-term historical data and recent performance prediction suggests that RCB’s current form and team composition may be overcoming their historical disadvantage.

The match will likely hinge on which team better adapts to the MA Chidambaram Stadium conditions. If the track plays true to historical trends, batting first and posting a total within the “sweet spot” range of 167-187 could prove decisive. In a chase scenario, the team that manages the middle overs most effectively will likely emerge victorious in what promises to be a closely contested match.