Dimitrov – Nakashima: 25.03.2025 16:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Grigor Dimitrov has been in strong form, winning four of his last five matches. In the third round of the Miami Open, he came back from a set down to defeat Khachanov. This is Dimitrov’s 14th appearance in Miami, where he was the runner-up last year, losing to Sinner in the final.
Brandon Nakashima also has a solid record, winning four of his last five matches. He’s had a tough run this week in Miami, with two of his matches going to three sets. In the third round, he defeated Goffin in over two hours. Nakashima, however, had a disappointing start in Miami last year, losing to Tabilo in the opening round.
Best Bet to Make
Dimitrov enters this match as a slight favorite, and we agree with the bookmakers. With his confidence high from his strong run last year and his solid form in Miami this week, Dimitrov is expected to prevail. Nakashima’s favorable draw so far has been helpful, but this will be his toughest test yet. Dimitrov’s experience should see him through.
That being said, Dimitrov winning in straight sets is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Grigor Dimitrov winning 2-0 @2.25 @bet365
Monfils – Korda: Time TBA
H2H: 1-0
Gael Monfils has won four of his last five matches, including three tight three-set victories this week in Miami. In the third round, he defeated Munar in a hard-fought battle. However, Monfils struggled in Miami last year, exiting in the third round against Alcaraz. His best result here is a quarterfinal appearance.
Sebastian Korda has had a rough season, losing three of his last five matches. However, he has bounced back this week, winning both of his matches in straight sets, including a solid victory over Tsitsipas in the third round. Last year in Miami, Korda lost to Hurkacz in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
The bookmakers have Korda as a slight favorite, and we agree with this assessment. Although his season has been inconsistent, Korda’s improved level of play this week in Miami makes him the favorite here. Monfils, who has had several lengthy matches this week, may struggle with fatigue. We expect Korda to capitalize on this and secure the win.
That being said, Korda winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Sebastian Korda winning @1.62 @bet365
Ruud – Cerundolo: Time TBA
H2H: 3-4
Casper Ruud has won three of his last five matches. He overcame Kecmanovic in the first round of Miami in three tight sets and followed that up with a straight-set win over Tabilo in the third round.
Francisco Cerundolo is in great form, winning four of his last five matches. He has been dominant in Miami, winning both of his matches in straight sets, including a standout win over Tommy Paul in the third round.
Best Bet to Make
The bookmakers have this match as a 50-50 contest, but we believe Cerundolo has the upper hand. After a strong run to the quarterfinals in Indian Wells, Cerundolo has been impressive in Miami, and his confidence is high. He has won the last two encounters against Ruud on hard courts, and we expect him to continue his strong form.
That being said, Cerundolo winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Francisco Cerundolo winning @1.91 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports
