Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - April 19

Data Skrive

Nolan James Arenado and the St. Louis Cardinals take the field on Saturday at Citi Field against Kodai Senga, who is projected to start for the New York Mets. First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET for the second game of a four-game series. The Mets are favored in this one, at -170, while the underdog Cardinals have +143 odds to play spoiler. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). An 8.5-run total has been set in the game.

Here’s everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Cardinals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, April 19, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
How to watch on TV: FOX

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Mets -170 +143 8.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +124 -149

Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 3, Cardinals 2
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 60%, Cardinals 40%

Mets vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won 10, or 71.4%, of those games.
New York has a record of 4-1 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -170 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 63% chance to win.
The Cardinals have been victorious in seven, or 53.8%, of the 13 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
St. Louis has played as an underdog of +143 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 41.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have a 5-3 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings — all had a set run total — the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
The Mets have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 6-4 Runs Per Game 4.3 HR 8 ERA 2.66 K/9 9.7

Mets Player Insights

Peter Morgan Alonso is the bat to watch in the Mets lineup, leading the team in batting average (.343), home runs (5), and RBI (21).
Alonso is 18th in homers and third in RBI among all batters in the majors.
Juan Soto is hitting .221 with four doubles, three home runs and 15 walks.
Soto ranks 57th in home runs and 128th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
Francisco Lindor is batting .268 with four doubles, a home run and six walks.
Lindor has at least one base hit in six games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
Brandon Nimmo is hitting .194 with three doubles, four home runs and six walks.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

The Cardinals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Cardinals have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total Record 5-5 Runs Per Game 3.3 HR 6 ERA 2.47 K/9 7.1

Cardinals Player Insights

Arenado is hitting .284 with six doubles, two home runs and 11 walks.
Among all hitters in MLB, Arenado’s home run total ranks 100th and his RBI tally is 84th.
Brendan Donovan’s 12 runs batted in and .373 batting average both pace his team.
Donovan is 100th in homers and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Lars Nootbaar is hitting .268 with three doubles, three home runs and 15 walks.
Victor Scott II is hitting .267 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.