Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 28

Data Skrive

Mitch Keller and Connor Gillispie are the scheduled starters when the Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins play on Opening Day at loanDepot park, at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Pirates are -137 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Marlins (+116). Pittsburgh (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the game is set at 7.5 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Pirates-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Shohei Ohtani went 6-6 in a demolition of the Miami Marlins, which included 3 HRs and the founding of the 50/50 club. Colin Cowherd declares that Ohtani is the greatest baseball player ever.

Pirates vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, March 28, 2025 at 7:10 p.m. ET
Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: FDSFL and SportsNet PT

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds Pirates -137 +116 7.5 -116 -105 -1.5 +126 -150

Pirates vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Pirates 51%, Marlins 49%

Pirates vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Pirates were favored on the moneyline 60 total times last season. They finished 34-26 in those games.
When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -137 or shorter last year, Pittsburgh finished with a record of 14-11 (56%).
The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Pirates a 57.8% chance to win.
The Marlins were underdogs 145 times last season and won 58, or 40%, of those games.

Pirates Player Insights

Last season, Bryan Reynolds had a .275 batting average with 24 home runs and 88 RBI.
Oneil Cruz hit .259 with an OBP of .324 and a slugging percentage of .449.
Andrew McCutchen finished with a .232 average, 20 home runs and 50 RBI last season.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa collected 125 hits, posted an OBP of .306 and a .376 SLG.

Marlins Player Insights

Otto Lopez hit .270 last season with 23 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 25 walks.
Xavier Edwards had 12 doubles, five triples, a home run and 33 walks while batting .328.
Jonah Bride hit .276 a season ago with 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
Nick Fortes hit .227 with 16 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks.