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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq seesaw in chaotic trading session as Trump threatens more tariffs on China
- Gold futures (GC=F) slipped more than 1% to slip below $3,000 per ounce on Monday during a chaotic trading session on Wall Street.
- The precious metal flipped between positive and negative territory as the major averages also briefly turned positive before sinking back down amid a series of tariff related headlines.
- On Monday morning President Trump threatened to “impose ADDITIONAL Tariffs on China of 50%,” effective April 9th unless Beijing removes retaliatory levies against US imports announced last week following Trump’s sweeping levies on trading partners.
- Gold has been a safe haven for investors amid the escalating trade war in recent months. The precious metal surged above $3,000 in mid-March, making multiple all-time high records this year.
- By 1:15 p.m. ET, bullion futures had pulled back to trade near $2,985 amid a market sell-off. However the precious metal has recently outperformed other commodities like copper and silver. The threat of a recession in the US, or globally has sparked fears of decreasing demand for industrial metals.
- The S&P 500 (^GSPC) may follow the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) into a bear market at today’s close if significant losses continue.
- Stocks enter a bear market when major indexes like the Nasdaq, S&P 500, or Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) fall 20% or more from their recent highs, signaling a significant decline in market sentiment. This drop often leads investors to have more cautious outlooks.
- Take the S&P 500, for example. It hit a peak of 6,144.15 on Feb. 19, 2025. According to S&P Global data, if the index closes at or below 4,915.32, it would officially mark the start of a bear market.
- Notably, the Nasdaq entered a bear market on Friday after it closed down more than 20% from its record set on Dec. 16.
- Earlier today, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 3%, but by noon, the benchmark index began to pare losses and narrowed its decline to around 1.6%. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) initially retreated by 4% but recovered to a decline of 1.5%.
- A bear market is the opposite of a bull market. While a bear market occurs when an index falls 20% or more from its recent high, a bull market happens when an index rises 20% from its recent low. Both mark significant shifts in market sentiment, with bear markets signaling widespread pessimism and bull markets indicating growing optimism.
- President Trump once again revived his calls for the Fed to cut interest rates. But Wall Street experts say rate cuts won’t necessarily solve the US economy’s problems.
- In a Truth Social Post early Monday, Trump said, “The slow-moving Fed should cut rates!”
- The statement echoes comments the president made last week, arguing now is the “PERFECT time” for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut rates. Markets continued to crater Monday following the latest tariff escalation, with Trump threatening to boost tariffs on China by another 50%. That would be on top of the 54% the administration had already promised.
- Wall Street is currently pricing in four interest rate cuts by year-end, largely due to growth fears and the increased probability of a US recession. Powell, though, has given investors few assurances that the recent sell-off would prompt a quick response from the central bank.
- In prepared remarks delivered Friday, Powell said, “While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent.”
- “Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem.”
- Julia Coronado, president and founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, told Yahoo Finance on Monday that Powell’s “wait and see” approach is likely the right move.
- “We see risks to both sides of our mandates,” she said. “The ultimate responsibility of the Fed is to be the adult in the room. And right now, that means being patient and letting some of this play out.”
- Coronado added the Fed does not have the ability “to just step in and catch the falling knife here” given the inflationary nature of Trump’s proposed tariffs, along with the plummeting US dollar as global markets reassess Us economic strength.
- “Every time the market corrects, there’s rumors swirling that the Fed is going to come in and cut rates,” she said. “President Trump is calling on the Fed to come in and cut rates. And by the way, that may not be the antidote you think it is.”
- “We’re in an extraordinarily difficult and dangerous situation where there’s not an easy policy solution when policy itself is the problem.”
- Early market action Monday showed investors are clearly still holding out hope for the Trump administration to scale back its tariff plans. But the same logic works in reverse too.
- At 11:14 a.m. Trump posted on social media that the United States will “impose ADDITIONAL Tariffs on China of 50%, effective April 9th.”
- Stocks quickly took a leg lower following the post.
- A key market fear right now remains that as countries respond to Trump’s tariffs, the president could respond by escalating the trade war further. As strategists have cut their year-end S&P 500 targets, many have also been offering a “bear case” scenario for the benchmark index. Most of those scenarios are centered around a further escalation of the trade war between the US and other countries or the US not backing down from its current tariff stance.
- In a note to clients, JPMorgan global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas outlined a “bear case” scenario in which the S&P 500 ends the year around 4,000. This scenario comes alongside “no tariff relief,” Lakos-Bujas wrote.
- Morgan Stanley chief investment officer Mike Wilson wrote in a note to clients on Sunday that the S&P 500 could see 7% or 8% downside from Friday’s closing levels “if there is no line of sight to a less severe trade environment and the Fed remains firmly on hold.”
- During a chaotic trading morning on Wall Street sparked by President Trump’s tariff policy, Trump went on social media to urge people not to panic.
- “The United States has a chance to do something that should have been done DECADES AGO. Don’t be Weak! Don’t be Stupid! Don’t be a PANICAN (A new party based on Weak and Stupid people!). Be Strong, Courageous, and Patient, and GREATNESS will be the result!”
- The post came after the major averages swung from steep losses to gains, back to negative territory following a social media headline post indicating Trump was considering a 90-day pause on tariffs. The White House subsequently said that was “fake news.”
- A wild 20 minutes of trading that sent the S&P 500 (^GSPC) from bear market territory to being on track for its best single-day rise in more than two years, revealed two key things about the state of play right now.
- For one, as our Alexandra Canal just highlighted, there is clearly a desperation among investors for the Trump administration to step in and back off its firm tariff stance.
- Second, it’s just utter chaos in markets right now. A headline that was never confirmed just sent the three major stock indexes on the kind of wild ride typically seen when a YouTuber is talking about GameStop (GME) on a live stream.
- As Renaissance Macro head of economics Neil Dutta just wrote in an email, “The S&P 500 trading like Fartcoin is probably not a good thing.”
- And for those wondering, Dutta isn’t being completely unserious here. Fartcoin (FARTCOIN-USD) is a real cryptocurrency with a volatile trading history.
- In less than 15 minutes, markets drastically reversed gains after confusion emerged over whether or not President Trump was considering a 90-day pause on implementing reciprocal tariffs.
- Just after 10 a.m. ET, stocks skyrocketed from early losses, with the S&P 500 on track for its best day since November 2022.
- The catalyst: Headlines that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said Trump would consider pausing the expected tariffs.
- Only problem? He never actually said that. The White House later confirmed the headline was “fake news” in a post on X.
- “I think the president is going to decide what the president is going to decide,” Hassett said in an interview with Fox News when asked specifically if Trump would consider a 90-day pause. Shortly after that clarity emerged, stocks sold off once again.
- The takeaway: Markets are desperate for any sign of change from the administration, which has largely stayed the course. The “Trump put” is alive and well. But only if he chooses to use it.
- Markets have been yearning for the Trump Administration to send a lifeline on tariffs. On Tuesday, it came via reports that National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said Trump is considering a 90-day tariff delay.
- The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) quickly rose more than 4% as the headline crossed, erasing significant losses from the open. With minutes, the tech-heavy gave back nearly all of those gains. At last check, the tech-heavy index was now down 0.8%.
- A look at the Nasdaq chart below encapsulates the last 15 minutes of trading.
- JPMorgan’s head of global equity strategy, Mislav Matejka, warned in a note Monday that three things need to happen for investors to feel comfortable buying again.
- Yahoo Finance’s Brian Sozzi reports:
- Read more here.
- President Trump appeared to try to calm markets on Monday morning after indicating the Trump administration is speaking with countries following his sweeping tariff announcement last week.
- “Countries from all over the World are talking to us,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “Tough but fair parameters are being set. Spoke to the Japanese Prime Minister this morning. He is sending a top team to negotiate! They have treated the U.S. very poorly on Trade. They don’t take our cars, but we take MILLIONS of theirs. Likewise Agriculture, and many other “things.” It all has to change, but especially with CHINA!!!”
- The president made the remarks just a few minutes before the market open. Still, stocks opened in the red on Monday morning for a third day in a row of heavy selling.
- US stocks slid for a third day in a row Monday amid a global stock fallout sparked last week following the Trump administration’s sweeping tariff policy.
- The S&P 500 (^GSPC) fell over 3%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) retreating 4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tanked more than 1,200 points.
- Stocks are continuing to sell off after their worst week since March 2020 as Trump signaled that he won’t change up his trade policy to relieve markets.
- “Sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something,” Trump told a reporter over the weekend.
- Stocks briefly came off its pre-market lows after JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon’s remarks in a new 59-page shareholder letter on Monday, where he warned of the many uncertainties from the sweeping trade policies on investments, capital flows, corporate confidence, and the US dollar.
- Oil continued to slide on Monday morning as fears of cratering demand steepened losses from last week.
- “Magnificent Seven” stocks slid, led by declines in Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), and Apple (AAPL), as the European Union prepares its own set of countermeasures following China’s retaliatory levies announced last Friday.
- President Trump has doubled down on his aggressive tariff policy, saying late Sunday that “sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something.”
- His closest allies are supporting that narrative, even as the administration’s global tariff escalation threatens to send stocks into a bear market.
- On Monday, White House economic advisor Peter Navarro said that tariffs will pay for the biggest tax cut in American history.
- “Don’t get panicked out by all of this,” he said in an interview with CNBC. “The broadest-based tax cut in American history is coming in a matter of months. So any discussions of recession seem silly when you factor that in.”
- Navarro also noted the recent movement in Treasury yields, with the 10-year (^TNX) falling as much as 20 basis points since Trump’s tariff announcement.
- “The Fed is not going to do its job,” Navarro said. “But the long bond is doing it.”
- Other members of the administration have also downplayed the impact on the US economy.
- “Americans who want to retire right now — the Americans who put away for years in their savings accounts — I think they don’t look at the day-to-day fluctuations [in the stock market],” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in an interview with NBC News’s “Meet the Press.”
- Bessent would be the likely voice to calm markets, RSM chief economist Joe Brusuelas told Yahoo Finance on Friday. So far, that hasn’t happened.
- Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnik argued that Trump’s protectionist agenda will restore domestic manufacturing jobs.
- “The army of millions and millions of human beings screwing in little, little screws to make iPhones — that kind of thing is going to come to America,” he told CBS News’s “Face the Nation”.
- None of those arguments have been enough to persuade investors, with stocks on track to take another large leg lower at Monday’s opening bell.
- “Magnificent Seven” stocks are sliding premarket, led by declines in Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), and Apple (AAPL), after China announced retaliatory tariffs against the US and the European Union prepares its own set of countermeasures.
- President Trump’s tariffs will likely continue to be highly disruptive to the tech trade, Apollo chief global economist Torsten Sløk wrote in a note on Monday morning. (Disclosure: Yahoo Finance is owned by Apollo Global Management.)
- “Roughly 50% of earnings in the Magnificent 7 come from abroad,” Sløk wrote. “That is higher than for the S&P 500, where the share is 41%. With trade making up a bigger share of GDP in the rest of the world than in the US, the trade war will have a disproportionately more negative impact on the rest of the world.”
- “As a result,” Sløk continued, “the Magnificent 7 will be hit harder on their global earnings than other S&P 500 companies. Their earnings could be even more negatively impacted if Europe retaliates in the form of a digital services tax.”
- Here’s a look at how the Magnificent Seven tech stocks are trading:
- With US stocks set to sink for a third day on Monday, President Trump posted on social media calling for the Fed to cut rates as markets tumble and some on Wall Street begin calling for the US economy to tip into recession this year.
- “Oil prices are down, interest rates are down (the slow moving Fed should cut rates!), food prices are down, there is NO INFLATION, and the long time abused USA is bringing in Billions of Dollars a week from the abusing countries on Tariffs that are already in place,” Trump said on his social media platform, Truth Social.
- “This is despite the fact that the biggest abuser of them all, China, whose markets are crashing, just raised its Tariffs by 34%, on top of its long term ridiculously high Tariffs (Plus!), not acknowledging my warning for abusing countries not to retaliate.”
- The President’s sweeping retaliatory tariff announcement last week sparked a sell-off in stocks. China announced 34% tariffs against US imports in retaliation to Trump’s levies.
- Nasdaq futures were sinking on Monday morning after sliding into a bear market last week, while the S&P 500 was also lower after losing more than 10% over a span of two days.
- Oil prices also sank more than 2.5% on Monday, extending its losses of 11% last week.
- Global stocks tumbled on Monday morning with the Hang Seng China Enterprises (^HSCE) index, tumbling more than 13%. The Japanese Nikkei 225 entered a bear market on Monday as it closed 7.8% lower, bringing its losses since a December high to 23%.
- Stocks in Europe slumped to levels not seen in well over a year as Trump’s tariff push left investors in no mood to take risks.
- The pan-European Stoxx 600 benchmark (^STOXX) fell almost 4.3% to its lowest level since January 2024, coming off session lows that saw it slide as much as 6.5%.
- All sectors on the Stoxx 600 pulled back, with defense names leading the decline as investors sold big recent gainers such as Rheinmetall (RHM.DE, RNMBF). The bank, energy, and insurance sectors also took a hit.
- “There’s just a general sense of panic,” said Daniel Murray, Zurich-based chief executive officer of EFG Asset Management told Bloomberg. “Everything is getting killed, even good companies that will likely fare relatively well.”
- Germany’s Dax (^GDAXI) dropped 4.4%, while the CAC 40 (^FCHI) in Paris slid 4.6%. London’s FTSE 100(^FTSE) retreated 3.8%.
- An increasing number of Wall Street strategists are flipping their stance on stocks in 2025 as stock sell-off in reaction to President Trump’s latest tariff announcements.
- On Sunday night, Oppenheimer chief investment strategist John Stoltzfus cut his year-end S&P 500 target to 5,950 from 7,100. Stoltzfus had entered 2025 as the most bullish strategist on Wall Street.
- “While our expectations are for cooler heads to prevail in the trade negotiation process that’s likely to follow last week’s tariff regime announcements the market’s reactions and percentage of recent declines in some individual stocks (as well as among major equity indices) suggests to us a need to right size expectations in the near term,” Stoltzfus wrote.
- With futures tied to the major indexes all down more than 3% again ahead of Monday’s market open, Stoltzfus noted that a “negative pitch book” has taken hold among investors. That pitch book, Stoltzfus wrote, “seemingly projects negative outcomes to infinity.”
- Amid the massive sell-off that’s pushed the benchmark index down more than 17% from its most recent all-time high on Feb. 19, Julian Emanuel, who leads the equity, derivatives, and quantitative strategy team at Evercore ISI, also lowered his year-end S&P 500 target to 5,600 from 6,800 previously.
- Evercore is now one of three equity strategy teams tracked by Yahoo Finance that has reversed course from seeing a positive return for the S&P 500 to projecting a negative year for stocks as Trump’s hefty tariffs ripple through the stock market.
- Emanuel wrote that prolonged policy uncertainty has already raised asset volatility and hit the confidence of both consumers and businesses. Eventually, Emanuel believes continued uncertainty that’s already weighed on survey data like consumer confidence could trickle into other economic data points. This would result in either stagflation, where inflation increases and growth slows, or an “outright recession.”
- “Investors, CEOs and Consumers dislike uncertainty,” Emanuel wrote.
- Stocks in Asia tanked on Monday to close near levels not seen in some cases since the 2008 global financial crisis, with the Hang Seng Index (^HSI) the hardest hit.
- The Hong Kong gauge closed 13.2% lower to notch its worst daily loss since 1997 and to erase all its gains for 2025 so far. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng China Enterprises (^HSCE) index, which lists companies such as Alibaba (BABA, 9988.HK) and BYD (BYDDF, 1211.HK), tumbled 13.7% as shares of all its components fell.
- Meanwhile, the CSI 300 (000300.SS) index in Shanghai sank 7%, as an “element of panic selling” hit stocks, according to a Janus Henderson strategist.
- In Taiwan, the Taiex pulled back 9.7% to book its worst day since 1990 as Apple suppliers TSMC (TSM, 2330.TW) and Foxconn (2317.TW) took a hit.
- The Nikkei 225 entered a bear market on Monday as it closed 7.8% lower, bringing its losses since a December high to 23%.
- The fast-moving slide in stocks during the session prompted a circuit-breaker in trading, per The Wall Street Journal.
- The last time the Japanese blue-chip benchmark was in a bear market was in August, when the Bank of Japan’s surprise interest-rate hike sent shockwaves through markets.
- Concerns about the impact of the trade war on Japan’s industries and broader economy are mounting. The country’s prime minister, Shigeru Ishiba, will speak with President Trump on a call later Monday, according to reports.
